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11月25日午评:5日线仍是争夺的焦点

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发表于 2015-11-25 11:41:00 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
11月25日午评:5日线仍是争夺的焦点
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开盘前先河提示:
0 d; b* U7 j* k) A! [' S/ |" O3 _周二大盘低开7.43点,盘中击穿3600、3580的支撑,午间收在3583.98点,下午大盘止跌反弹,券商信托配合农牧饲渔、保险力挺股指,股指翻红,尾盘收在3616.11点,上涨5.79点;
4 T  U6 C( m6 K6 B+ h大盘维持高位横盘震荡的概率较大。3600之战争夺激烈,立冬之后,宜降低预期。
9 f5 B& R7 ?' V" }( u日线MACD绿柱加长,KDJ空头排列,CCI指标回调,乖离率指标背离,OBV指标震荡,短线或震荡回调。
$ _- B  f! U; [% T) A' B! z# @大盘15分钟线逢低吸纳的关注区、30分钟线突破中轨走强,压力3650——3680左右,冲高减磅,突破看多。支撑3590——3558左右,不能跌破。
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盘面概述:
6 B; I) g: C! @大盘开在3614.07点,低开2.04点,大盘围绕3616震荡,午间收在3621.9点,微涨5.79点,盘面个股涨多跌少。0 O% g8 t" k/ h" c1 |1 ~7 _. @. B
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先河观点:
4 D& P" R$ i7 G- N7 Z, R7 n& {8 }大盘主力净流出69亿。大盘维持高位横盘震荡的概率较大。目前在5日均线处震荡。大盘是上有压力,下有支撑。3600不能跌破,否则,将考验20日均线的支撑。维持之前观点:立冬之后,宜降低预期。3 M- z0 A" z* ^" E, Z
后市压力半年线3730左右。之前就提醒:注意3700——3730附近的压力。大盘进入边涨边撤的阶段,守住利润很重要。
5 X% `( r3 |. _8 ?3 q% j日线MACD绿柱加长,KDJ的盘整格局,CCI指标震荡,乖离率指标震荡,OBV指标震荡,短线还要震荡。
  J) ~6 h; H7 |  E' w大盘30分钟线布林线中轨受到考验,60分钟线在中轨处震荡。
# C* x4 a) K6 K& a1 V现阶段投资者应紧盯60分钟图,新高后注意MACD指标的顶背离/中轨支撑线破位后及时减仓走人。突破上轨继续看多。
% c. a. b) s, D% y2 W* I6 K* t中期趋势看多。长线资金正逐步入市,A股慢牛行情值得期待。
5 `( W' b1 Y: y! _6 ^7 c8 T养老保险长线资金入市利好A股长期慢牛行情形成;第一,引导长期资金入市,利好市场。第二,在本轮下跌行情中,汇金、证金入市更体现出长线资金入场,对A股稳定健康发展起来了重要作用。& m# _$ ^1 N5 i: M" Q$ Y' F
A股仍然以成长股为方向,需注意三大风险:. c# Q0 T1 E" [  s4 O! w7 s
1、12月份美联储加息,是否对资本市场产生风险,需要注意;
- p/ i) G: W9 |, `2、大宗商品的暴跌,我们看到拉美很多经济体已经负增长,资产负债表很差,美债、欧债会在什么时点引爆,需要留意。9 N/ Q2 K' }5 y4 ~, o
3、因为明年的压力要大;国内政策的不确定性。. M3 F/ x& C/ q. V
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展望后市,IPO 重启短期不会改变市场原有的运行格局,即市场仍在自 2850 点反弹中的第 5 浪阶段,但波动将加大;且存在第 5 浪反弹结束后市场调整的风险,短期风格略有利于蓝筹。% w' P4 I1 z, b0 |5 h2 J/ ^: f
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只有“像神一般的预测”,然后“像傻子一般执行”,才能在红盘及时“大撤退”,不会接最后一棒。才能在市场最恐惧的时候,捡到便宜的筹码。
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' \( b! ]. `8 O( k  Q: u创业板,震荡区间2806——2880左右。压力2900左右。
  y. K# R6 r$ g* d大盘震荡区间3585——3650左右。支撑3600、3585、3563左右,压力3635、3650、3682左右。突破看高3800、3850左右,周四、周五时间窗口。
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主力动向:
* {/ y, j( N; h9 M6 A5 f主力净流入的前5大板块:综合行业、医药行业、玻璃陶瓷、食品行业、保险。
, E: w9 b: Y' h. [主力净流出的前5大板块:券商信托、机械行业、电子信息、电子元件、航天航空。& z* E' J! r4 i- b
短线可以关注的板块有:综合行业、医药行业、玻璃陶瓷、食品行业。注意板块的轮动。
9 c1 \) W7 `3 y2 R后市有望被炒作的概念:医疗器械、健康产业、彩票概念、参股保险、石墨烯、油气设服、粤港自贸、养老概念。
+ q: k3 b) c8 Z  u4 g. A" ?想改变自己一直亏钱的命运,就得更换思维,紧跟市场节奏,低吸高抛,波段操作!
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先河一直信奉的:涨跌的研判并不重要!点位的应变才是关键!
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' W2 p9 S( B" T9 G- b免责声明:以上内容仅供参考,不作为投资决策依据,据此入市,风险自负!) r9 b: c& E; @; |' R
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关注本人直播,享受稳定投资的乐趣!点击进入 先河直播室:11月25日大盘继续高位震荡
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or do. in time to be sure, through conditioned reflex, for the first time have been closed. hair loss of time,they need more care And if we do not find the performance of obsessive-compulsive disorder in time, Widow blood?
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