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暴跌之后是机会还是风险

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发表于 2015-11-29 18:47:00 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
暴跌确实扼杀了市场短线做多的人气,其实这次暴跌主要是由券商被叫停融资类互换业务引发的,直接挡住1200多亿入市资金,截至目前已有中信、国信、海通、广发、华泰、方正六家券商被证监会调查,尤其是中信的塌方式问题已经逐渐浮出水面,曾经的暴跌暴跌千点中闪现着中信的‘功劳’,到目前为止期指做空的暴利参与者仍在调查中,而券商勾结外资做空A股的卑劣行径还未彻底公布,不过资金杠杆导致的杠杆牛会让更多人吃上‘号饭’,市场的单边上扬中券商获利并不丰厚,而吃里扒外的做空已经让其赚得盆满钵盈,特别是以中国中车为代表的‘中字头’个股坑人最深;曾经本博客在中国中车复牌之时就已经预测,其必须跌穿10元大关,现如今已经成为过去式;不得不说券商开始大洗牌,更是大洗澡,看大病,既带指数又带人气的神板块,现如今开始动大手术,显然这也是股市反腐的重要标志,看来券商‘洗洗更健康’的时代已经到来。
( c9 F$ Q6 Y: T    本博曾经倡议大家当大跌100点要关注大盘,周五的暴跌199点,被杀的几乎老股垄断,次新股依然不是重灾区,说明次新大军中阵脚并未大乱,不管是高价或者中价次新股,九成个股已经创出大盘5000点新高,而更多个股也具备含权的可能性;注册制实行前,次新股的行情不会戛然而止,大盘的这种暴跌更有利于次新股洗盘,因此下周对于拒绝下跌的次新股依旧可以低吸。, M# y$ H' B/ ]. c  x3 p
     从技术层面看大盘的暴跌是被年线的压制,同时回踩60日线才是目的,中小创当然是对年线的回踩,说明强势反弹之后对年线心有余悸,中小创强于主板是真实的,今后很长时间会维持这种态势,一旦主板走强意味着股市的赚钱行情开始出现折扣,未来中小市值、次新股、填权股仍然春意盎然,故大盘暴跌之后带来的是机会不是陷阱。主板60日线和年线夹角的争夺会持续一段时间,该区域会形成平台的可能性大,只要不出现百点之上的暴跌,‘轻大盘重个股’依旧可以执行。暴跌并未打破震荡反弹的趋势,3000—3800点的争夺会耗时较长,不过止盈和止损同时也要谨记。
  g# \  f5 R# s( w     大盘拉升过程中要适度远离60日线的制约,反弹过程中要有间歇性的回探60日线的动作,这是常态;马上年终岁尾,大盘没有牛市拉升的条件,也无熊市暴跌的厄运,暴跌之后惊现含权或者填权股的风采,下周回探60日线后依然机会多多,当然机会多多满仓尽是大蓝筹也是错误的。每次暴跌之后都是调仓换股的机会。
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发表于 2015-11-29 18:58:41 | 显示全部楼层
谢谢分享了!
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发表于 2015-11-29 18:59:35 | 显示全部楼层
你喜欢贴子还是发贴子的人
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发表于 2015-11-29 19:05:29 | 显示全部楼层
拍脑袋决策,拍胸脯保证,拍屁股走人
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发表于 2015-12-18 11:05:25 | 显示全部楼层
每天只签到不留言的,升级永远没有见贴就留言的快。说明:”复制粘贴很重要!
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发表于 2015-12-29 17:22:00 | 显示全部楼层
你会变成大海,然后被鲨鱼吃掉!
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发表于 2015-12-31 23:37:56 | 显示全部楼层
搬个小板凳 ,楼猪,go。
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发表于 2016-1-1 01:23:52 | 显示全部楼层

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